Should Your Post Office Be a Bank?

Last month brought a flurry of opinions on postal banking in response to a new proposal that the US Post Office offer financial services – including bill-pay, check cashing, even small loans – to the “financially underserved.” Reactions have ranged from enthusiastic to deeply skeptical. This post highlights two key questions that have been posed and synthesizes some of the answers offered up so far.

Would the underserved consumer actually benefit?

Some say yes. There’s evidence that the Postal Service’s financial products would be able to reach people who are “significantly poorer, older, less educated, and less likely to be employed” than those who bank at formal financial institutions according to CGAP, citing a 2013 Findex report which found that as much is true in other countries with postal banking . . . 

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How can financial services advance the rights of the poor?

I recently attended the launch event for Bill Easterly’s latest book, The Tyranny of Experts.  His thesis is that international development policies have been determined by a group of so-called experts, who both ignore the rights of the poor and systemically violate those rights.  After his presentation, Professor Easterly urged the audience to start more discussions that highlight a rights-based development agenda.

This call to action prompted me to think about how the provision of financial services can advance the rights of the poor, and reminded me of my first-hand experience with Slum Dwellers International (SDI) in Uganda.  SDI is a grassroots organization of the urban poor that started in India in 1996 but now works in 33 countries . . . 

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Week of March 25, 2014

  • The National Consumer Law Center (NCLC) published a new report analyzing claims that big data and predictive algorithms will create alternative credit scores and new options of accessing credit for the unbanked.  NCLC concludes that more customer data does not necessarily equal good customer data or accurate scores and those scores may be violating federal laws.
     
  • There were a few big announcements recently in the mobile money world  – Safaricom and Airtel jointly bought out yuMobile, the third-biggest telco in Kenya, T-Mobile announced it will offer financial services in Poland through a partnership with Alior Bank, and MTN partnered with Ecobank to allow customers to transfer money between accounts and withdraw cash from Ecobank ATMs in 12 African countries.
     
  • In a recent webinar, Bankable Frontier Associates discussed key findings from four recent CGAP and Better than Cash Alliance case studies that examine the e-payment experience of cash transfer programs in low-income settings in Kenya, Uganda, Haiti and the Philippines. 
     
  • When RCTs include treatments at the village or district level, what happens to individual consent?  Jed Friedman discusses the ethics of consent and trials in a post for the World Bank’s Development Impact Blog.
     
  • Both The New York Times and WNYC profiled the lives and financial hardships of individuals working low-wage jobs.  While the Times looks at Chattanooga, TNand WNYC at New York, the struggles of households to get by share commonalities with each other and with those of the US Financial Diaries project.
     
  • FAI affiliate Daniel Rozas partners with Gabriela Erice on a new paper for the European Microfinance Platform that shows at MFIs and banks in Bolivia, Nicaragua, and Pakistan 50-75% of savings accounts at MFIs and banks in Bolivia, Nicaragua, and Pakistan are empty and balances of accounts with funds are at least double the average reported size.
     
  • Tom Murphy covers the recent debate on why remittances have fallen in the US-Mexico corridor and includes excerpts from a recent Felix Salmon article on this topic, Tim Ogden’s blog response to Salmon, and Michael Clemens and Tim’s work on migration as a household investment strategy.

Deflating the Promise of Using Remittances to Cope with Financial Shocks

Over the past three years, I have been working on the Microinsurance Learning and Knowledge (MILK) Project, focusing on one specific question: Do clients obtain value from microinsurance? As the project comes to an end, I feel more and more that this is only one of the many questions that we should be asking as we think about how low-income people cope with risk and financial shocks.  Insurance is one of many coping strategies; it is not always the quickest, the easiest, or the most accessible. But it is an important complement, and in some cases, can take the “bite” out of some of more difficult strategies such as selling assets, borrowing at high interest rates or drying up savings . . . 

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Quiz: How Much Do You Really Know About Mobile Money?

Last month the Mobile Money for the Unbanked group at GSMA released their state of the industry report for 2013.  They’ve been collecting data on mobile money since 2010 so a more complete picture of changes in the industry is starting to emerge, and this year for the first time they’ve added other mobile money products like insurance, credit and savings, which make up a growing piece of the mobile money pie. Though we try to keep up on what’s new in mobile money, some of the findings surprised us.

We hear that people these days are into quizzes (admit it, you already know which Game of Thrones character you are). Now get out your pencil and paper to tally up your scores, and see how much you really know about the global mobile money industry . . .

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Women Pay More and Get Less: Experiences from Malawi

Here on the FAI blog we’ve written many posts  on the shortcomings of financial literacy training programs, both in the US and abroad. When I came across a study from the World Bank’s Development Research Group evaluating a vocational training and entrepreneurship program in Malawi, I was prepared to add this to the stack of mounting evidence of training programs that show little to no effect on business development and personal finance and move on. But in this case, the study focuses on the gendered differences of participation in the training course, not just whether or not it was effective at facilitating new business activity.

Like previous research, the Malawi study found no effects on self-employment*, but it did find significant differences in satisfaction and self-esteem between women and men after taking part in the program. The authors (Cho et al.) comment, “these differences are explained by both the conditions under which women participate in training, as well as gender differences in the training experience" . . . 

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Week of March 14, 2014

  • CFSI published its Prepaid Industry Scorecard, which analyzes 18 prepaid cards and assesses their level of quality based on criteria related to transparent communication and marketing, overall value for the customer, and ability to expand financial access.
     
  • While mobile phone penetration in Ghana is over 90%, up-take of mobile money services lags behind, particularly in rural areas.  IMTFI investigates why this is the case and also looks at the role of the private sector and government in promoting the use of these services. 
     
  • The ILO’s Microinsurance Facility issued its 2013 annual report with the theme “Protecting the Working Poor.”  The report not only summarizes the work of the organization over the last year but also looks at shifts and trends in the microinsurance industry since 2008, focusing on the commercial viability of products and their value to customers.
     
  • Elisabeth Rhyne, Managing Director for CFI, turns a critical eye to the current state of the microfinance infrastructure, focusing on key organizations that set standards and provide information globally. 
     
  • Kevin Starr and Laura Hattendorf from the Mulago Foundation write a compelling piece for SSIR that reminds readers to temper the hype surrounding GiveDirectly and to not mistake “an important experiment for a proven solution” to poverty.  Also see Chris Blattman’s response to the SSIR piece.
     
  • According to the IFC, “The total supply of formal finance to women-owned MSMEs [micro, small and medium enterprise] in 2012 is around Indian rupees 2.31 trillion ($42 billion). This resulted in a finance gap of Indian rupees 6.37 trillion ($116 billion), or 73 percent of total demand.”  The organization’s new report on the state of women-owned MSMEs in India looks at why this gap in demand exists and offers recommendations on improving female entrepreneurs’ access to finance.
     
  • We appear to be in another cycle of the “RCT debate”: see recent posts from Lant PritchettChris BlattmanRachel Strohm, and David Mckenzie. Here are couple of posts from FAI Managing Director Tim Ogden from the last cycle: on External Validity and  Transcendental Significance critiques.

Stop Saying That Customers Don't Know What They Want

Lately I've been noticing a lot of writing about innovation inanely citing Steve Jobs (“People don't know what they want until you show it to them”) and/or Henry Ford (“If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses.”) quotations about customers not knowing what they want. An example last week, in an otherwise reasonable piece about how to measure economic progress, caused my frustration to boil over.

I think this perspective on innovation rears its head a lot when it comes to financial services for poor households which is concerning because it is 90% (at least) dead wrong.

Let’s start with the Ford quotation. First, it’s apocryphal . . . 

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The Price of (Dis)Trust

No consumer likes overdraft fees. Overdraft fees are often unexpected, expensive, and in some cases undeserved. What’s more, they can wreak financial havoc on households living on a low-income.

But the larger issue is not the fees themselves. It’s the lack of transparency surrounding them and the widespread consumer distrust that results.

Edelman is a PR firm that surveys people around the world to create an annual Trust Barometer (among other things), which gauges levels of trust in different institutions. In 2012 it found that only 41% of respondents in the U.S. trust banks – which, by the way, were at the bottom of the list right along with financial services. The year’s ratings on banks are second-worst only to 2011, when they hit a low of 25% . . . 

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Week of March 7, 2014

  • Citibank and Imperial College teamed up to produce Getting Ready for Digital Money:  A Roadmap, a new report that assess the current state of digital money around the world; it  includes a “Digital Money Readiness Index.”  This index links socio-economic development indicators to digital money adoption.
     
  • new cryptocurrency called MazaCoin (inspired by Bitcoin) created by certain Native American tribes may have political implications for the financial future of their reservations.
     
  • According to the IFC,  about 80 percent of micro, small, and medium enterprises in developing countries operate in the informal sector and are often financially constrained. A new paper (and accompanying blog post) by Subika Farazi documents the financing patterns of informal firms and identifies the most significant characteristics of informal firms that are associated with higher use of financial services.
     
  • Could Starbucks be the next big bank?  Probably not but this piece in Wired describes how products like retail rewards cards, new “nonbank”, digital-only financial services, and digital wallets represent a possibly disruptive trend for the traditional banking sector.
     
  • The Alliance for Financial Inclusion traces the regulatory and legislative history of Peru’s approach to e-money as a tool for financial inclusion in a new blog post.
     
  • The Center for American Progress released a new report on an emerging investment trend –mortgage-backed security supported by revenue from single-family rental properties.  The report explores the questions around risk to tenants and communities if there is significant growth in this new asset class.
     
  • Mastercard announced it is testing a new security measure that links the geolocation feature on a smartphone to a customer’s credit card.  If the phone and purchaser are not in the same place, a security alert is sent to indicate possible fraud.

The Curious Case of the Falling Remittances

Global remittance flows command a rightfully growing amount of attention. Recently Pew published a visualization of World Bank data on international remittances that helps show the scale and corridors of transfers. Of note, FAI’s Alicia Brindisi has been writing about south-to-south remittances and the huge market they represent.

Remittance flows are, of course, primarily driven by migration patterns. The largest country-to-country corridors for remittances—from the US to Mexico ($22 billion in 2012), from the UAE to India ($17 billion) and from India to Bangladesh ($7 billion) for instance—match the flow of migrants. In the US to Mexico corridor, remittance flows fell during the Great Recession as there was a net outflow of Mexican migrants. Curiously though, while migrant flows have returned to pre-recession levels, remittances have not. Meanwhile major banks, which had invested in providing remittance services to that corridor, are cutting back services . . . 

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Week of February 28, 2014

  • Jake Kendall and Rodger Voorhies of the Gates Foundation discuss the potential impact of mobile phones on poverty reduction in the developing world, with a specific focus on their uses for increasing financial inclusion and providing financial services.
     
  • Each year, Mobile Money for the Unbanked’s State of the Industry report contains key findings and insights on the growth of the sector. This year, for the first time, the scope of the report has been extended to include not only mobile money, but also mobile insurance, mobile credit and mobile savings. Key findings show a rapid growth in mobile money industry and increased competition among providers. (Watch for further insights from the report in an upcoming blog post.)
     
  • Tigo, a subsidiary of the international telecommunications and media company Millicom, launched the first mobile-to-mobile remittance service with currency conversion for transfers between Tanzania and Rwanda. Following Orange’s announcement of a similar product last July in West Africa, the two providers show a growing interest in the South-South remittance market.
     
  • In more remittance news, Pew Research released an interactive map that shows 2012 remittance inflows and outflows for countries around the world.
     
  • The Federal Reserve Bank of New York released its Household Debt and Credit Report for the fourth quarter of 2013. This report provides a quarterly snapshot of household trends in borrowing and indebtedness, including data about mortgages, student loans, credit cards, auto loans and delinquencies. Outstanding household debt increased $241 billion from the previous quarter, the largest quarter over quarter increase since the third quarter of 2007.
     
  • Lisa Servon continues her “series” on financial services for lower-income households with a look at  the demand side of the payday loan industry, investigating the reasons why low-income borrowers are willing to pay high fees for small dollar credit products.
     
  • According to data from the Federal Reserve, less than 1% of all federally chartered banks are owned by African-Americans.
     
  • The New York Times featured an opinion piece on the potential for Obamacare to spur job creation through entrepreneurship.
     
  • PBS Newshour highlighted the work of Hunger Free Colorado, a nonprofit that recently sponsored a participatory photography project aimed at chronicling what it’s like to be hungry in America.
     
  • Freedom from Hunger CEO Steve Hollingsworth details the organization’s perspective on “what we know” about microfinance and where the industry should focus now  in a new blog post on NextBillion.net.   

South-South Remittances: The Untapped Mobile Market

Mobile money supporters often tout the benefits of using transfer services to facilitate remittances. Many users are migrants who made the financial investment to live in a Western country and send financial resources back home. But that is only part of the story. According to a 2010 UN report , the number of South-to-South migrants (73 million) in 2010 was only slightly less than South-to-North migrants (74 million) worldwide. In Africa, one-tenth of remittances come from within the continent, and South Africa (a destination country) sees most of its remittances flow to neighboring countries. Where the people go, the money follows. The World Bank estimates the value of South-to-South remittances between $17.5 billion and $55.4 billion, or in other terms, 9 to 30% of all remittance traffic to developing countries.

Sending these payments is not cheap – the average global money transfer fee is 9% while the average fee to send funds within South-South corridors is 12% . . . 

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What if all of Africa were as digital as Kenya?

In Kenya, 70 percent of long distance payments from one individual to another are made electronically.  Seventy percent of payments from governments and businesses to individuals are also made electronically. From 2006 to 2009 when M-Pesa—the Kenyan mobile instrument for all these payments—was expanding, the total number of person-to-person electronic transactions shot up rapidly, by 215 percent.

What would happen if the rest of Sub-Saharan Africa looked like Kenya? A  just out from McKinsey, based on Gallup data funded by the Gates Foundation, looks into that future scenario.

The focus of the report is the opportunity for potential payment providers to earn more revenue (estimated at 2 percent of transaction volume). Projections show revenues from electronic payments across the continent would grow 50 percent, to $15-$16 billion a year. This news comes with something of a puzzle. With the opportunity so large, why have most other countries not followed in Kenya’s footsteps?

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Who needs payday loans?

There’s a nice post on payday loans by New School professor Lisa Servon on the New Yorker Currency blog this week. She tells the story of Azlinah Tambu, a single mother in Oakland, CA who took out a series of payday loans, knowing she wouldn’t be able to pay them back on time and will end up repaying far more than she borrows. There’s no question Tambu is as informed a consumer of these types of loans as you could find: she has worked as a teller for a payday lender. In relating Tambu’s struggle to repay, Servon makes two really important and related points.

First, current debates focus too much on the need for regulation to curb the abusive practices of payday lenders rather than seeking to understand the financial lives and motives of the people taking out these loans, despite their high cost . . . 

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Week of February 18, 2014

This week’s New and Noteworthy includes results of an RCT on behavioral economics and savings, an in-depth look at legal procedures for debt collection, and a review of new cash transfer research in sub-Saharan Africa.

  • A new report from Dean Karlan of Innovations for Poverty Action (and an FAI co-founder) discusses the role of nonprofit organizations in fostering financial inclusion. Karlan highlights innovations in microfinance delivery, draws attention to financially underserved groups, and provides recommendations for building client trust.
     
  • M-Pesa is pushing toward international transfers. Safaricom seems to be linking up with Skrill, a US-based remittances/online payment company, to allow people to send money directly to M-Pesa accounts from abroad. 
     
  • According to the Federal Reserve, 40 percent of people in the prime working years of 25 to 64 have no current pension or retirement plan. Floyd Norris reviews the history of pensions and the future retirement options for the generation President Obama hopes to target with his new “MyRA” initiative.
     
  • On April 8th, Microsoft plans to end support for Windows XP, leaving about 95 percent of US-based ATMs open to security and compliance risks.
     
  • Grameen Foundation and ideas42 report findings from a behavioral design project on improving savings outcomes for clients of CARD Bank in the Philippines. When researchers linked a focus on saving through goal-setting and planning at the point of account opening, they saw a positive effect on savings balances over time.
     
  • This American Banker article exposes the common practice of “rocket dockets,” or unsupervised debt resolution conferences that exist in a legal gray area. They are being targeted by the CFPB since the proceedings may give debt collectors unfair advantages in court.
     
  • Markus Goldstein evaluates recent research on cash transfer programs in sub-Saharan Africa and their impact on productive activities such as agriculture and small businesses for the World Bank blog. 
     
  • Last year, the Reserve Bank of India unveiled new licenses that allow various financial institutions to act as banks. The New Yorker looks at the impact of this on financial inclusion, the microfinance sector, and the unmet demand of banking services for the rural poor.

The New York Times: How Credit-Card Debt Can Help the Poor

Today The New York Times features a perspective from Shaila Dewan on the importance of credit and saving in the lives of the poor.  Dewan highlights that life without credit can be expensive and severly limiting in terms of accessing housing and other services or dealing with emergencies.  She also notes that savings and credit are interconnected and quotes FAI's Jonathan Morduch on his own observations of the relationship between this activities from his research in Bangladesh . . . 

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Week of February 7, 2014

In this week’s New and Noteworthy, we highlight responses to the USPS’ white paper on providing financial services, the impact of small dollar fees on the US health care system, and a new publication projecting the potential for digital payment markets in Africa.

  • A new McKinsey & Co. publication shows the gap between current levels of payment digitization and what levels in other African countries would look like if they matched Kenya. The report demonstrates that there certainly is a business case for supplying digital payment services if demand puzzles can be solved.
     
  • Last year on our blog Dan Rozas pointed out the risk of a substantial repayment crisis in Chiapas, Mexico. Hugh Sinclair has a new post laying out the case that Peru, and MiBanco in particular, is at high risk of a repayment crisis.
     
  • Now that the Affordable Care Act is in full swing, so is the Innovation Center, a research outfit funded by ACA to discover how to most effectively deliver health care. However, many researchers say the Innovation Center is missing out on key opportunities for deeper insights into health care policy by conducting demonstration projects and not RCTs.
  • In a post for NextBillion, FAI affiliate Ignacio Mas outlines three types of “money stories” people tell (or in other words, ways of mental accounting) and how providers can translate those stories into financial products that serve the needs of the poor.
     
  • Danielle Ofri, a physician and an associate professor of medicine at NYU, authors an opinion piece for The New York Times that discusses the impact of small dollar fees on low-income patients’ health. She asserts that it is “literally the pocket money, that often has the most profound and palpable effect on the concrete currency of health.”
     
  • Last week’s white paper from the USPS Inspector General exploring how the U.S. Postal Service could offer non-bank financial services spurred a number of interesting responses (many thinking the plan doesn’t go far enough), including articles from Adam Levitin for American Banker, Felix Salmon at Reuters, and David Dayden for The New Republic.
     
  • Is there value in microinsurance? Drawing on several years of original research as well as other evidence from the field, the MicroInsurance Centre’s MILK Project and the ILO’s Microinsurance Innovation Facility provide concrete insights into how, when, in what ways, and to what extent clients receive value from microinsurance in a new brief.
     
  • Transport for London announced plans to go completely cashless on its fare systems for central London buses, beginning this summer.
     
  • Last year, Rebecca Ackerman, a Code for America Fellow working with the San Francisco Human Services Agency, signed up for food stamps to view enrollment from the client’s perspective as part of a larger project to improve the program's retention. The Atlantic profiles her experience and the results of the project, which include an interactive timeline of over 20 letters she received in her seven months of benefits.

Overdraft as a Product, not a Penalty?

The Taylors overdraft their checking account every two weeks, on purpose.

As described in a recent issue brief published by the U.S. Financial Diaries, the Taylor family’s income level varies significantly from month to month. Sometimes it’s not enough to cover all of their expenses. So, they opened an account at a bank with a simple overdraft fee structure: One $35 charge per overdraft, no daily fees, and an allowance of up to $500 at a time. Since the Taylors typically make only one large cash withdrawal per paycheck – the entire amount of pay – this bank would charge them at most one $35 overdraft fee each cycle, if they happen to need more cash than the amount of that week’s direct deposit.

The Taylors use overdrafts as another household might swipe a credit card or take out a payday loan. Since their credit history eliminates the card option and they are already tied up with a payday lender, over-drafting becomes another logical – and probably more convenient – place for them to turn to stay on top of their bills. It’s clear that the family responded to and relies on their new bank's transparent behavior. They saw its fee policy, understood how they could manage it, and became a customer . . . 

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Week of January 31, 2014

This week’s New and Noteworthy includes resources to help distinguish between e-money and Bitcoin, find out more about the US Postal Service’s possible expansion of financial services, and explore the impact of the financial crisis on banking behavior in the US.

  • A new paper from Una Okonkwo Osili and Anna Paulson show that individuals who have experienced a banking crisis are 11 percentage points less likely to use banks in the US than their peers who emigrated from the same country but did not experience a crisis.
  • As Bitcoin gains in popularity, it’s easy to confuse the digital currency with other forms of e-money. CGAP’s new infographic provides a quick reference that contrasts these products.
  • PopTech profiles the Trust Card, a product developed by IPA with support from the Ford Foundation, designed to act as an “un-credit card” – establishing access to affordable credit coupled with debt consolidation and financial counseling with the goal of improving financial stability for cardholders over time.
  • In his annual State of the Union Address, US President Barak Obama advocated raising the federal minimum wage, a topic of recent debate in Washington. The Economic Policy Institute released data showing the value of minimum wage is 23 percent less than its peak inflation-adjusted value in 1968 but low-wage workers are more highly educated than they were in the late sixties.
  • Writer Dylan Love shared his experience with Slate of using an invitation-only, no fee, virtual bank called Simple. Spoiler alert – after two weeks, he swore off brick-and-mortar banks for life.
  • Piggy-backing on the success and rapid growth of M-Pesa, Safaricom now offers a number of additional mobile financial tools like savings tools and ways to pay school fees electronically.  But are these services reaching those who could potentially benefit from them the most?  NextBillion says no - research shows the poor or those in rural areas are currently the least likely to use these add-on products.
  • A new Postal Service Office of Inspector General white paper explores how the U.S. Postal Service could offer a suite of non-bank financial services (in addition to the current money order and transfer services) targeted to serve America’s unbanked populations.