Stop Saying That Customers Don't Know What They Want

Lately I've been noticing a lot of writing about innovation inanely citing Steve Jobs (“People don't know what they want until you show it to them”) and/or Henry Ford (“If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses.”) quotations about customers not knowing what they want. An example last week, in an otherwise reasonable piece about how to measure economic progress, caused my frustration to boil over.

I think this perspective on innovation rears its head a lot when it comes to financial services for poor households which is concerning because it is 90% (at least) dead wrong.

Let’s start with the Ford quotation. First, it’s apocryphal . . . 

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The Price of (Dis)Trust

No consumer likes overdraft fees. Overdraft fees are often unexpected, expensive, and in some cases undeserved. What’s more, they can wreak financial havoc on households living on a low-income.

But the larger issue is not the fees themselves. It’s the lack of transparency surrounding them and the widespread consumer distrust that results.

Edelman is a PR firm that surveys people around the world to create an annual Trust Barometer (among other things), which gauges levels of trust in different institutions. In 2012 it found that only 41% of respondents in the U.S. trust banks – which, by the way, were at the bottom of the list right along with financial services. The year’s ratings on banks are second-worst only to 2011, when they hit a low of 25% . . . 

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Week of March 7, 2014

  • Citibank and Imperial College teamed up to produce Getting Ready for Digital Money:  A Roadmap, a new report that assess the current state of digital money around the world; it  includes a “Digital Money Readiness Index.”  This index links socio-economic development indicators to digital money adoption.
     
  • new cryptocurrency called MazaCoin (inspired by Bitcoin) created by certain Native American tribes may have political implications for the financial future of their reservations.
     
  • According to the IFC,  about 80 percent of micro, small, and medium enterprises in developing countries operate in the informal sector and are often financially constrained. A new paper (and accompanying blog post) by Subika Farazi documents the financing patterns of informal firms and identifies the most significant characteristics of informal firms that are associated with higher use of financial services.
     
  • Could Starbucks be the next big bank?  Probably not but this piece in Wired describes how products like retail rewards cards, new “nonbank”, digital-only financial services, and digital wallets represent a possibly disruptive trend for the traditional banking sector.
     
  • The Alliance for Financial Inclusion traces the regulatory and legislative history of Peru’s approach to e-money as a tool for financial inclusion in a new blog post.
     
  • The Center for American Progress released a new report on an emerging investment trend –mortgage-backed security supported by revenue from single-family rental properties.  The report explores the questions around risk to tenants and communities if there is significant growth in this new asset class.
     
  • Mastercard announced it is testing a new security measure that links the geolocation feature on a smartphone to a customer’s credit card.  If the phone and purchaser are not in the same place, a security alert is sent to indicate possible fraud.

The Curious Case of the Falling Remittances

Global remittance flows command a rightfully growing amount of attention. Recently Pew published a visualization of World Bank data on international remittances that helps show the scale and corridors of transfers. Of note, FAI’s Alicia Brindisi has been writing about south-to-south remittances and the huge market they represent.

Remittance flows are, of course, primarily driven by migration patterns. The largest country-to-country corridors for remittances—from the US to Mexico ($22 billion in 2012), from the UAE to India ($17 billion) and from India to Bangladesh ($7 billion) for instance—match the flow of migrants. In the US to Mexico corridor, remittance flows fell during the Great Recession as there was a net outflow of Mexican migrants. Curiously though, while migrant flows have returned to pre-recession levels, remittances have not. Meanwhile major banks, which had invested in providing remittance services to that corridor, are cutting back services . . . 

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Week of February 28, 2014

  • Jake Kendall and Rodger Voorhies of the Gates Foundation discuss the potential impact of mobile phones on poverty reduction in the developing world, with a specific focus on their uses for increasing financial inclusion and providing financial services.
     
  • Each year, Mobile Money for the Unbanked’s State of the Industry report contains key findings and insights on the growth of the sector. This year, for the first time, the scope of the report has been extended to include not only mobile money, but also mobile insurance, mobile credit and mobile savings. Key findings show a rapid growth in mobile money industry and increased competition among providers. (Watch for further insights from the report in an upcoming blog post.)
     
  • Tigo, a subsidiary of the international telecommunications and media company Millicom, launched the first mobile-to-mobile remittance service with currency conversion for transfers between Tanzania and Rwanda. Following Orange’s announcement of a similar product last July in West Africa, the two providers show a growing interest in the South-South remittance market.
     
  • In more remittance news, Pew Research released an interactive map that shows 2012 remittance inflows and outflows for countries around the world.
     
  • The Federal Reserve Bank of New York released its Household Debt and Credit Report for the fourth quarter of 2013. This report provides a quarterly snapshot of household trends in borrowing and indebtedness, including data about mortgages, student loans, credit cards, auto loans and delinquencies. Outstanding household debt increased $241 billion from the previous quarter, the largest quarter over quarter increase since the third quarter of 2007.
     
  • Lisa Servon continues her “series” on financial services for lower-income households with a look at  the demand side of the payday loan industry, investigating the reasons why low-income borrowers are willing to pay high fees for small dollar credit products.
     
  • According to data from the Federal Reserve, less than 1% of all federally chartered banks are owned by African-Americans.
     
  • The New York Times featured an opinion piece on the potential for Obamacare to spur job creation through entrepreneurship.
     
  • PBS Newshour highlighted the work of Hunger Free Colorado, a nonprofit that recently sponsored a participatory photography project aimed at chronicling what it’s like to be hungry in America.
     
  • Freedom from Hunger CEO Steve Hollingsworth details the organization’s perspective on “what we know” about microfinance and where the industry should focus now  in a new blog post on NextBillion.net.   

South-South Remittances: The Untapped Mobile Market

Mobile money supporters often tout the benefits of using transfer services to facilitate remittances. Many users are migrants who made the financial investment to live in a Western country and send financial resources back home. But that is only part of the story. According to a 2010 UN report , the number of South-to-South migrants (73 million) in 2010 was only slightly less than South-to-North migrants (74 million) worldwide. In Africa, one-tenth of remittances come from within the continent, and South Africa (a destination country) sees most of its remittances flow to neighboring countries. Where the people go, the money follows. The World Bank estimates the value of South-to-South remittances between $17.5 billion and $55.4 billion, or in other terms, 9 to 30% of all remittance traffic to developing countries.

Sending these payments is not cheap – the average global money transfer fee is 9% while the average fee to send funds within South-South corridors is 12% . . . 

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What if all of Africa were as digital as Kenya?

In Kenya, 70 percent of long distance payments from one individual to another are made electronically.  Seventy percent of payments from governments and businesses to individuals are also made electronically. From 2006 to 2009 when M-Pesa—the Kenyan mobile instrument for all these payments—was expanding, the total number of person-to-person electronic transactions shot up rapidly, by 215 percent.

What would happen if the rest of Sub-Saharan Africa looked like Kenya? A  just out from McKinsey, based on Gallup data funded by the Gates Foundation, looks into that future scenario.

The focus of the report is the opportunity for potential payment providers to earn more revenue (estimated at 2 percent of transaction volume). Projections show revenues from electronic payments across the continent would grow 50 percent, to $15-$16 billion a year. This news comes with something of a puzzle. With the opportunity so large, why have most other countries not followed in Kenya’s footsteps?

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Who needs payday loans?

There’s a nice post on payday loans by New School professor Lisa Servon on the New Yorker Currency blog this week. She tells the story of Azlinah Tambu, a single mother in Oakland, CA who took out a series of payday loans, knowing she wouldn’t be able to pay them back on time and will end up repaying far more than she borrows. There’s no question Tambu is as informed a consumer of these types of loans as you could find: she has worked as a teller for a payday lender. In relating Tambu’s struggle to repay, Servon makes two really important and related points.

First, current debates focus too much on the need for regulation to curb the abusive practices of payday lenders rather than seeking to understand the financial lives and motives of the people taking out these loans, despite their high cost . . . 

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Week of February 18, 2014

This week’s New and Noteworthy includes results of an RCT on behavioral economics and savings, an in-depth look at legal procedures for debt collection, and a review of new cash transfer research in sub-Saharan Africa.

  • A new report from Dean Karlan of Innovations for Poverty Action (and an FAI co-founder) discusses the role of nonprofit organizations in fostering financial inclusion. Karlan highlights innovations in microfinance delivery, draws attention to financially underserved groups, and provides recommendations for building client trust.
     
  • M-Pesa is pushing toward international transfers. Safaricom seems to be linking up with Skrill, a US-based remittances/online payment company, to allow people to send money directly to M-Pesa accounts from abroad. 
     
  • According to the Federal Reserve, 40 percent of people in the prime working years of 25 to 64 have no current pension or retirement plan. Floyd Norris reviews the history of pensions and the future retirement options for the generation President Obama hopes to target with his new “MyRA” initiative.
     
  • On April 8th, Microsoft plans to end support for Windows XP, leaving about 95 percent of US-based ATMs open to security and compliance risks.
     
  • Grameen Foundation and ideas42 report findings from a behavioral design project on improving savings outcomes for clients of CARD Bank in the Philippines. When researchers linked a focus on saving through goal-setting and planning at the point of account opening, they saw a positive effect on savings balances over time.
     
  • This American Banker article exposes the common practice of “rocket dockets,” or unsupervised debt resolution conferences that exist in a legal gray area. They are being targeted by the CFPB since the proceedings may give debt collectors unfair advantages in court.
     
  • Markus Goldstein evaluates recent research on cash transfer programs in sub-Saharan Africa and their impact on productive activities such as agriculture and small businesses for the World Bank blog. 
     
  • Last year, the Reserve Bank of India unveiled new licenses that allow various financial institutions to act as banks. The New Yorker looks at the impact of this on financial inclusion, the microfinance sector, and the unmet demand of banking services for the rural poor.

The New York Times: How Credit-Card Debt Can Help the Poor

Today The New York Times features a perspective from Shaila Dewan on the importance of credit and saving in the lives of the poor.  Dewan highlights that life without credit can be expensive and severly limiting in terms of accessing housing and other services or dealing with emergencies.  She also notes that savings and credit are interconnected and quotes FAI's Jonathan Morduch on his own observations of the relationship between this activities from his research in Bangladesh . . . 

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Week of February 7, 2014

In this week’s New and Noteworthy, we highlight responses to the USPS’ white paper on providing financial services, the impact of small dollar fees on the US health care system, and a new publication projecting the potential for digital payment markets in Africa.

  • A new McKinsey & Co. publication shows the gap between current levels of payment digitization and what levels in other African countries would look like if they matched Kenya. The report demonstrates that there certainly is a business case for supplying digital payment services if demand puzzles can be solved.
     
  • Last year on our blog Dan Rozas pointed out the risk of a substantial repayment crisis in Chiapas, Mexico. Hugh Sinclair has a new post laying out the case that Peru, and MiBanco in particular, is at high risk of a repayment crisis.
     
  • Now that the Affordable Care Act is in full swing, so is the Innovation Center, a research outfit funded by ACA to discover how to most effectively deliver health care. However, many researchers say the Innovation Center is missing out on key opportunities for deeper insights into health care policy by conducting demonstration projects and not RCTs.
  • In a post for NextBillion, FAI affiliate Ignacio Mas outlines three types of “money stories” people tell (or in other words, ways of mental accounting) and how providers can translate those stories into financial products that serve the needs of the poor.
     
  • Danielle Ofri, a physician and an associate professor of medicine at NYU, authors an opinion piece for The New York Times that discusses the impact of small dollar fees on low-income patients’ health. She asserts that it is “literally the pocket money, that often has the most profound and palpable effect on the concrete currency of health.”
     
  • Last week’s white paper from the USPS Inspector General exploring how the U.S. Postal Service could offer non-bank financial services spurred a number of interesting responses (many thinking the plan doesn’t go far enough), including articles from Adam Levitin for American Banker, Felix Salmon at Reuters, and David Dayden for The New Republic.
     
  • Is there value in microinsurance? Drawing on several years of original research as well as other evidence from the field, the MicroInsurance Centre’s MILK Project and the ILO’s Microinsurance Innovation Facility provide concrete insights into how, when, in what ways, and to what extent clients receive value from microinsurance in a new brief.
     
  • Transport for London announced plans to go completely cashless on its fare systems for central London buses, beginning this summer.
     
  • Last year, Rebecca Ackerman, a Code for America Fellow working with the San Francisco Human Services Agency, signed up for food stamps to view enrollment from the client’s perspective as part of a larger project to improve the program's retention. The Atlantic profiles her experience and the results of the project, which include an interactive timeline of over 20 letters she received in her seven months of benefits.

Overdraft as a Product, not a Penalty?

The Taylors overdraft their checking account every two weeks, on purpose.

As described in a recent issue brief published by the U.S. Financial Diaries, the Taylor family’s income level varies significantly from month to month. Sometimes it’s not enough to cover all of their expenses. So, they opened an account at a bank with a simple overdraft fee structure: One $35 charge per overdraft, no daily fees, and an allowance of up to $500 at a time. Since the Taylors typically make only one large cash withdrawal per paycheck – the entire amount of pay – this bank would charge them at most one $35 overdraft fee each cycle, if they happen to need more cash than the amount of that week’s direct deposit.

The Taylors use overdrafts as another household might swipe a credit card or take out a payday loan. Since their credit history eliminates the card option and they are already tied up with a payday lender, over-drafting becomes another logical – and probably more convenient – place for them to turn to stay on top of their bills. It’s clear that the family responded to and relies on their new bank's transparent behavior. They saw its fee policy, understood how they could manage it, and became a customer . . . 

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Week of January 31, 2014

This week’s New and Noteworthy includes resources to help distinguish between e-money and Bitcoin, find out more about the US Postal Service’s possible expansion of financial services, and explore the impact of the financial crisis on banking behavior in the US.

  • A new paper from Una Okonkwo Osili and Anna Paulson show that individuals who have experienced a banking crisis are 11 percentage points less likely to use banks in the US than their peers who emigrated from the same country but did not experience a crisis.
  • As Bitcoin gains in popularity, it’s easy to confuse the digital currency with other forms of e-money. CGAP’s new infographic provides a quick reference that contrasts these products.
  • PopTech profiles the Trust Card, a product developed by IPA with support from the Ford Foundation, designed to act as an “un-credit card” – establishing access to affordable credit coupled with debt consolidation and financial counseling with the goal of improving financial stability for cardholders over time.
  • In his annual State of the Union Address, US President Barak Obama advocated raising the federal minimum wage, a topic of recent debate in Washington. The Economic Policy Institute released data showing the value of minimum wage is 23 percent less than its peak inflation-adjusted value in 1968 but low-wage workers are more highly educated than they were in the late sixties.
  • Writer Dylan Love shared his experience with Slate of using an invitation-only, no fee, virtual bank called Simple. Spoiler alert – after two weeks, he swore off brick-and-mortar banks for life.
  • Piggy-backing on the success and rapid growth of M-Pesa, Safaricom now offers a number of additional mobile financial tools like savings tools and ways to pay school fees electronically.  But are these services reaching those who could potentially benefit from them the most?  NextBillion says no - research shows the poor or those in rural areas are currently the least likely to use these add-on products.
  • A new Postal Service Office of Inspector General white paper explores how the U.S. Postal Service could offer a suite of non-bank financial services (in addition to the current money order and transfer services) targeted to serve America’s unbanked populations.

FAI's Greatest Blog Hits of 2013

We’ve crunched the numbers and compiled the list of FAI’s most viewed posts of last year:

  1. What’s Next: Another Repayment Crisis? by Daniel Rozas
  2. FAI Video: A Conversation with Pascaline Dupas
  3. What’s Next? External Validity by Jonathan Morduch
  4. The Death and Life of Cash by Timothy Ogden
  5. FAI Video: Dean Karlan Discusses Commitment Savings Research
  6. Beyond Business: Rethinking Microfinance - Timothy Ogden and Jonathan Morduch in Foreign Policy
  7. What's Next: Five Factors – Beyond Mobile Money – that will make Financially-Inclusive G2P a Reality by Jamie Zimmerman
  8. "How Microfinance Really Works" - Jonathan Morduch in Milken Review
  9. Impact Evaluation of Compartamos Released by Alicia Brindisi
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When You Need $128 to Have No Money

“Wow, the consumer knows about that?”

This was essentially how a banker responded when I told him the story of a woman I interviewed for the US Financial Diaries study. The participant – we’ll call her Jenna – was charged four $32 overdraft fees in the same day ($128 total, if you’re counting).  Jenna explained to me that if her bank had processed her transactions in the order she had made them, there would only have been one charge. Instead, the bank posted her largest purchase first, which was enough to take her account balance below $0. That triggered the initial $32 fee, and then three smaller debit card swipes she’d made earlier in the day each prompted fees as well . . . 

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Week of January 24, 2014

This week’s New and Noteworthy highlights the power of heuristics in decision making, a theory on the future trajectory of Bitcoin as a global currency, and the economics of strengthening payments security.

  • Antoinette Schoar of MIT’s Sloan School of Management and ideas42’s Saugato Datta released a new paper on using heuristics (or simple rules of thumb) to help individuals make “reasonably good decisions,” even in complex situations. The paper builds on Schoar et al.’s previous research that found evidence in the Dominican Republic that microentrepreneurs who received a rules of thumb business training curriculum fared better than those who participated in a more traditional accounting course.
     
  • FAI Affiliate David Roodman has a new paper reflecting on the current state of the microfinance industry and where it can and should go next: Armageddon or Adolesence? Making Sense of Microfinance’s Recent Travails.
     
  • In light of its recent customer information breach, Target leadership is calling on retailers and banks to strengthen credit card security by adopting a PIN credit card system, similar to what is used in Europe. However, The Washington Postexplores the economics behind digital payment systems in the US and argues that building a more secure payments system is not as easy (or as cheap) as one might expect.
     
  • Social media sites like Facebook and China’s RenRen have a combined membership of almost 2 billion users worldwide – many of whom are in the developing world and might have profiles but no bank accounts. CGAP explores the potential of these sites to enter the money transfer sector and what that could mean for remittances.
  • T-Mobile announced a new personal finance service that integrates a prepaid debit card, ATM access, and mobile banking – free for wireless subscribers and fee-based for all others.
     
  • The New York Times featured an opinion piece on the impact of providing unconditional cash supplements to the poor. The author reviews a longitudinal study of a Cherokee community that divided profits from a casino to tribe members. The study found that income supplements had long-term mental health benefits, specifically for children and actually saved the community money over time.
     
  • The most recent Pop Tech features various perspectives on financial inclusion, in the US, including thoughts from FAI’s Tim Ogden on the US Financial Diaries Project.
     
  • Bitcoin is paradoxically one of the most publicized and least understood new technologies. Marc Andreessen explains Bitcoin, its potential as a digital currency, and why it matters for the future of online commerce.

In Conversation with FAI: David McKenzie on Mental Accounting in Development Research

Imagine you enter a shoe store that is having a sale – buy any pair of shoes, get a second pair for free. Sounds like a great deal, right? Now imagine that same store had an offer to take 50% off any two pairs of shoes. Even though you are spending the exact same amount for the same two products, perhaps you react differently to the two offers. Perhaps there is something about removing “free” from the offer that might make you feel like you’re not getting as good of a deal. And how would you pay for these shoes – with cash? Credit card? Mobile wallet balance? Does it even matter? Research shows that people perceive $1 in mobile money differently than $1 in cash, and that these different perceptions DO influence spending habits.

The process of mentally separating different forms of money and assigning value to them, keeping track of potential costs and benefits to transactions, and categorizing expenses into buckets like “food” and “healthcare” is called mental accounting . . . 

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Week of January 17, 2014

This week’s New and Noteworthy includes a history of the CFPB, reflections on the “war on poverty” in the US, and research showing a preference to receiving wages in cash over mobile money among garment workers in Bangladesh.

  • Barbara Ehrenreich, author of (among other things) Nickel and Dimed: On (Not) Getting By in Americaexplains in The Atlantic how it’s more expensive to be poor than not poor and the many restraints that low-wage jobs puts on workers’ lives.  
     
  • The New America Foundation reminds us that the troubled launch of healthcare.gov was not the first time bad technology created problems for individuals seeking government services - the digitalization of social safety nets has a history of unintended negative consequences, especially for the poor.
     
  • Fifty years after former US President Lyndon Johnson waged a “war on poverty,” Pew Research provides a demographic snapshot of who the poor are, where they live, and how far the nation has come in addressing this issue.
     
  • The Washington Post’s Wonk Blog published an in-depth history of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, tracking the evolution of the agency since its inception.
     
  • Sendhil Mullainathan (an FAI co-founder) and Eldar Shafir’s book, Scarcity: Why Having Little Means So Much, has gotten a lot of much-deserved attention (including from FAI). Alex Counts of the Grameen Foundation blogs his reaction, describing how insights from the book and behavioral have implications for microfinance and international development specifically.
     
  • When given the option of being paid with cash or via mobile platforms, garment workers in Bangladesh preferred the former because it allows them to meet pending expenditures immediately and reduce some risks like scams at agent outlets and cash shortages, say new research from Financial Inclusion Insights.
     
  • The New York Times reviews the pros and cons of using the elements of a lottery– savers are entered into cash prize drawings if they meet certain deposit criteria—to promote savings.
     
  • CGAP provides a roundup of ten data sources to measure financial inclusion, including both demand-side and supply-side sources.
     
  • Daniel Altman responds to a new book by Paul Polak and Mal Warwick that claims the potential profits from untapped markets at the bottom of the pyramid is in the trillions of dollars. Altman contends that if you adjust for local purchasing power and currency values, the number is a lot less. He also argues that inefficient markets in the developing world can obstruct scaling of products, therefore further reducing profit potentials.

Week of January 10, 2014

Our first New and Noteworthy of 2014 features different perspectives on financial literacy, an investigation into debt collection practices, and a resource for commentaries on global income inequality.

  • Tilman Ehrbeck of CGAP takes a different take on “financial literacy” forHuffington Post by exploring the intersection of language and finance when designing services for illiterate consumers.
  • Meanwhile, Helaine Olen explores the conventional definition of financial literacy (education around the basics of money management) claiming it is “both a failure and a scam.”
  • In India, the Committee on Comprehensive Financial Services for Small Businesses and Low Income Households has published its long awaited report. We’ll be blogging about it soon.
  • In the past few months, there has been a lot of press on the pros and cons of unconditional cash transfer programs. This article from de Correspondent of the Netherlands investigates the history of similar initiatives in the US and Canada, including forgotten research pilots showing potential successes of minimum income programs.
  • Also from the Netherlands – an article wondering whether Bitcoin could lead to a future of low or no cost international remittances or if the risks are too great for feeless transfers to become reality.
  • Project Syndicate’s most recent “Focal Point” feature gathers a number of perspectives, policy recommendations, and commentaries around the issue of global income inequality.
  • new report from the Kaiser Family Foundation explores the causes and consequences of medical debt among Americans who have health insurance. The report finds cost-sharing health plans (even when relatively modest) can prove to be unaffordable because expenses are often unexpected and most Americans do not have adequate savings to deal with the financial shock. 
  • 30 million Americans are currently being pursued by debt collectors. Of these, more than 100,000 report being subject to illegal tactics, an issue currently being investigated by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau.  Al-Jazeera America reports on some of the more unscrupulous tactics of debt collection agencies in this investigative piece.
  • From The New York Timesa map of poverty distribution in America; highlights of a study that finds a correlation between diabetes-related hospital visits and times of the month when food budgets are stretched, and the use of psychometric testing by our friends at the Entrepreneurial Finance Lab to determine credit worthiness.

Sorry, Cash Only: Returning to the World of the Banked

My month-long experiment of surviving on cash only is at an end. One question I had hoped to answer was whether switching to purely cash transactions would cause me to spend less. To find out, I took three months of transaction data from last summer from Mint.com. After removing spending anomalies like an unusually large student loan payment and an airplane ticket, I averaged the expenses for this time period in a number of categories like “entertainment” and “groceries.” I compared the three-month averages with my one month of cash spending during Sorry, Cash Only.

I suspected that the numbers would reveal that I spent less during my cash month. Existing research shows that convenience, reduction of barriers to spending, and even perception of credit all contribute to higher spending with credit cards. However, I wasn’t prepared for how much less I spent . . . 

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